22
Dec 14
As we go into the slow holiday week, the S&P 500 will probably hang around current levels. The daily fractal dimension is up to 48 and climbing as the market consolidates. The short-term is up to 60, and can start a brief downtrend at any time.
Gold also is marking time at the 38.2$ retracement level around $1,193.
Bitcoin has most likely put in its Month #45 low, and should start to rise at an accelerating rate. I don’t know what the specific catalyst will be, but the Month #45 low is when the exponential rise to Month #64 begins.
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200 comments until now
1.
Gib User ID: 4141 @ 2014-12-22 10:08 Comment # 208983 edit comment
first
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2.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 10:10 Comment # 208984 edit comment
OREX
-5% last 3 days (despite EU approval, AF, and Spencer)!
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3.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 10:13 Comment # 208985 edit comment
OREX
-0.74% last 6 months!
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4.
CORBISIER User ID: 3282 @ 2014-12-22 10:15 Comment # 208987 edit comment
@Yossi, and how has ARNA performed last 6 months?
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5.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 10:17 Comment # 208989 edit comment
@CORBISIER, I hope you’ll continue to buy OREX and short ARNA.
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6.
CORBISIER User ID: 3282 @ 2014-12-22 10:18 Comment # 208990 edit comment
@Yossi, It cant be any worse than following your stock pumping
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7.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 10:19 Comment # 208991 edit comment
BAVA
Up 73% last 3 months!
https://www.google.com/finance?q=bava&ei=FzaYVLmWKuSDwAOB7YGABg
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8.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 10:22 Comment # 208992 edit comment
@CORBISIER, just because you missed GWP , BCRX , and BAVA ?
Please show me ONE NWI subscriber that recommended this board better winners.
What’s yours?
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9.
CORBISIER User ID: 3282 @ 2014-12-22 10:30 Comment # 208993 edit comment
@CORBISIER, BCRX down 12% last 2 months GWP down 12% last month just playing your game…
ARNA down 65% last 3 years
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10.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 10:41 Comment # 208994 edit comment
@CORBISIER, I said few times to buy and sell BCRX and if you were following me you would make X 13 .
Not good enough for you?
Please let us know what’s your contribution to this board?
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11.
John Quinn User ID: 11223 @ 2014-12-22 10:43 Comment # 208995 edit comment
JUNO’s up almost 15%. It’s got awhile to run.
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12.
CORBISIER User ID: 3282 @ 2014-12-22 10:44 Comment # 208996 edit comment
@CORBISIER, My contribution is to expose stock pumpers…Give showme your track record so we can monitor it properly if you want to boast how good you are.
What price did you say buy and sell of BCRX to come up with 13X return?
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13.
Carl Flygt User ID: 6058 @ 2014-12-22 10:50 Comment # 208997 edit comment
Good discussion. Let’s get to the bottom of it.
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14.
CORBISIER User ID: 3282 @ 2014-12-22 10:59 Comment # 208998 edit comment
@Carl Manthei Manthei flgyt I am just seeking better accountability. MM has been drilled on a daily basis and rightfully so for poor stock selection. I just want the others who boast of great stock picks to own up to them. Yossi said we could have made 13x our investment in BCRX i just want him to show me the math to justify that pick as well as the other home runs…
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15.
Michael User ID: 11373 @ 2014-12-22 11:00 Comment # 208999 edit comment
$247 for horrible stock advice? Pass
$247 for Oldster constantly talking his book? Pass
Mr Murphy, why aren’t you taking bitcoins as payment? It’s as easy as sticking a coinbase gadget into your payment site. Should take a decent programmer a half a day at best.
https://www.coinbase.com/docs/merchant_tools/payment_buttons
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16.
Michael User ID: 11373 @ 2014-12-22 11:01 Comment # 209000 edit comment
@Carl Manthei Flygt, I doubt anyone is left to care.
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17.
ABDUCKTED User ID: 4628 @ 2014-12-22 11:01 Comment # 209001 edit comment
@Yossi,
Dont forget blrx and you said to hold and buy bcrx around $1 ((-:
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18.
Opie User ID: 3054 @ 2014-12-22 11:01 Comment # 209002 edit comment
@Yossi, and others…
Below is an expansion of a useful comment you posted a few boards ago. I don’t have a medical background but will be passing this around to various places for people who don’t have a medical background, so tried to use mostly non-medical language. Okay as is, or do you have additional edits?
1. BELVIQ is a recently approved medicine to treat obesity.
• BELVIQ is appropriate for people who are obese (body mass index BMI over 30), or for overweight people who have additional medical issues (BMI over 27, plus diabetes, high blood pressure, or high cholesterol).
• BELVIQ reduces the desire to eat to excess, especially junk food.
• BELVIQ (Lorcaserin) has less severe side effects compared to Contrave and Qsymia weight loss combination drugs. Main side effects experienced by five percent or more of BELVIQ users include: Temporary headache for initial time using BELVIQ, fatigue, dizziness, nausea, dry mouth, or constipation. These side effects are not surprising, with reduced calorie intake and weight loss.
• Please try to start with half dose (10mg BELVIQ per day) for 3 weeks to let the body to adapt. (If you used Contrave and Qsymia, you would not start using the full dose from day one.)
• BELVIQ should be combined with a diet and exercise program whenever possible.
2. BELVIQ seems most effectively used in combination with Phentermine (“BelPhen”) for maximizing weight loss, or with Metaformin for type II diabetes management and weight loss (“BelMet”).
3. 10mg BELVIQ + 15mg Phentermine will have LESS side effects than 20mg BELVIQ.
4. The best BelPhen dosage could be 15mg BELVIQ + 15mg Phentermine per day
• Taken once per day in the morning.
• VERY potent and VERY safe, with surprisingly great results in 12 weeks.
• BEST weight loss medication ever, documented in medical trials.
5. BelMet is about HALF dose BELVIQ. You need only 10mg BELVIQ together with Metformin (for Type II diabetes patients).
6. When taking BELVIQ, diabetes medications may be able to be reduced, since BELVIQ improves blood sugar levels (A1c).
7. BELVIQ is also effective for smoking cessation.
• BELVIQ reduces the desire to smoke.
• At the same time, BELVIQ minimizes the weight gain problem commonly experienced when quitting smoking.
• BelSmoke is only about a twelve-week treatment.
8. Medical Insurance Coverage for BELVIQ:
• Today, about two-thirds of patients have insurance coverage for BELVIQ. Since BELVIQ is new, insurance coverage continues to be added by more medical insurance companies.
• There is a free 15-day BELVIQ coupon available at http://www.Belviq.com.
• Those who are not covered, can get a $75 off coupon to reduce the cost of the $199 per 30 day prescription, or get reduced BELVIQ prices at Wal-Mart.
• Recently, some MDs have received free samples of BELVIQ to give to new patients.
• Since BELVIQ reduces smoking and over-eating, some savings occur from reduced cigarette and food consumption.
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19.
bruno machado da silva User ID: 6001 @ 2014-12-22 11:06 Comment # 209003edit comment
Yossi:
you are a great contribution to this board. I thank you for your patience.
My best regards
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20.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 11:14 Comment # 209004 edit comment
@CORBISIER, ok!
Let’s start with GWP since this is easy (never said to sell it).
Let’s ask ShowMe to tell us what was GWP price when I recommended it.
BTW, how many subscribers here recommended even ONE stock that went up X 5 ?
Names please Mr. “accountability”…
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21.
Donald Galamaga User ID: 6844 @ 2014-12-22 11:17 Comment # 209005 edit comment
@bruno machado da silva, I agree that he is. For the moment, we are getting killed by the action of Express Scripts regarding Abbie Vie, eliminating Gilead from its formulary. Besides many drug store chains, that affects military both on active duty and retired (TRICARE). What that means for ARNA is that it’s head is on the chopping block. After the decision of CVS Caremark to put Qsymia on its formulary for all CVS stores (mainly due to a judgment of efficacy and cheapness) the market is judging, IMHO that Belviq will lose out to Express Scripts as well. Say goodbye to the U.S. Pharmacy market if (and when) that happens. For Eisai, that means that they’ve got to get off their tail to make sure folks know that it is a new medication (lorcaserin) and that its efficacy beats Qsymia and OREX’s drug. That may be obvious to folks on this board, but for those who control the purse strings, this is not so. Again, IMHO
P.S. Adam Feuerstein is going to have a field day with this fro ARNA, if he hasn’t already.
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22.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 11:19 Comment # 209006 edit comment
@ABDUCKTED, yes, I said BUY BCRX when it was less than $1.50 (few times)!
But I also sold it and bought again cheaper!
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23.
CORBISIER User ID: 3282 @ 2014-12-22 11:24 Comment # 209007 edit comment
@Yossi why don’t you just give us that information, after all YOU made the stock picks BCRX too, I don’t know how you or anybody on this board made 13x
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24.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 11:35 Comment # 209008 edit comment
@Opie, you are putting together facts and opinions.
“3. 10mg BELVIQ + 15mg Phentermine will have LESS side effects than 20mg BELVIQ.” need to be proved yet.
It’s based on the fact that 20mg BELVIQ + 15mg Phentermine did not have much more adverse effects than BELVIQ alone, and also based on understanding the MOA (but still need to be checked).
BELVIQ is NOT approved yet for smoking.
“Today, about two-thirds of patients have insurance coverage for BELVIQ” I think you are totally wrong here.
About 65%-70% of real scripts are covered, but I think that less than 20% of the population is covered (and only about 10% of entitled patients are covered).
BTW, the free samples bottles are for 30 days (unlike the coupons).
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25.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 11:40 Comment # 209009 edit comment
@bruno machado da silva, @Donald Galamaga, thanks!
I’m really sorry that I was wrong regarding ARNA this year but I still think that it is a very strong buy.
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26.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 11:50 Comment # 209010 edit comment
@CORBISIER, ok, let’s start with BCRX.
Do you agree I said BUY BCRX when it was less than $1.50 or do you need me to prove it?
Let’s assume for now I never said to sell it and buy again – Please tell me Mr. “accountability” 8x is good enough for you?
BTW, why don’t you Ignore me if you don’t like me?
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27.
Opie User ID: 3054 @ 2014-12-22 12:02 Comment # 209011 edit comment
@Yossi, thanks, will update it.
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28.
Opie User ID: 3054 @ 2014-12-22 12:04 Comment # 209012 edit comment
@bruno machado da silva, @Yossi,
I second the motion.
Also if oldster and others want to suggest stocks they believe will appreciate in value, I’d like to hear their opinions. But I don’t choose to invest in most of them. There are some tips that have made me money. So I don’t want anyone to be hesitant to share their ideas, analysis and news. Thanks to all for sharing tips here.
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29.
oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-22 12:05 Comment # 209013 edit comment
@Yossi,
*****I’m really sorry that I was wrong regarding ARNA this year*****
——– FRAME this, everyone….!!…..a pumper gone cold on ARNA…..
+
Perhaps a new year will help her….& OREX….and VVUS…. and ETRM….and other new entrants to come forth….so the obese can be slugs on society, and not even try to lose weight…?? ( not including those with REAL medical reasons for inability to do weight control…!!!..)
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30.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 12:12 Comment # 209014 edit comment
@oldster3, I wrote it few times already.
Still, ARNA is a VERY Strong BUY IMHO!
(More than ever before imo).
You’ve never been wrong Mr. Right?
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31.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 12:13 Comment # 209015 edit comment
@Opie,
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32.
bobglyc User ID: 6229 @ 2014-12-22 12:17 Comment # 209016 edit comment
@Opie, I second that!!
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33.
oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-22 12:19 Comment # 209018 edit comment
Yossi,
*****You’ve never been wrong Mr. Right?*****
—— Oh YES – Indeedy I have….. and will continue to do so…..thus, I use stps to minimize my downsides and protect capital……. Murph doesn’t need to protect “his” capital, apparently….huh….??
——– Juuust sayin’…….
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34.
MR MICHAEL HAAS User ID: 4759 @ 2014-12-22 12:20 Comment # 209019 edit comment
@Donald Galamaga, This is beginning to sound scarily familiar. If this comes to pass (“..say goodbye to U.S. Pharmacy market”) is ARENA doomed? I am trying hard not to say just like Dendreon. MM, what do you think about this situation? Is Arena management up to this challenge? Is Takeda?
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35.
oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-22 12:34 Comment # 209020 edit comment
LIVE….
http://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=LIVE&ty=c&ta=0&p=w
—— I’m looking forward to the run higher on this one….tiny position now….she “could” be a star…… stps at just under $2
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36.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 12:42 Comment # 209021 edit comment
@MR MICHAEL HAAS, what’s Arena’s value (market cap) should be IYO even without BELVIQ (just pipeline + cash)?
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37.
CORBISIER User ID: 3282 @ 2014-12-22 12:59 Comment # 209022 edit comment
@Yossi I will take your word that BCRX was $1.50 when you said buy but you did not make 13x $1.50 at any time like you said in an earlier post. I am just trying to get the numbers to be accurate.
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38.
MR. WILLIAM HINES User ID: 2944 @ 2014-12-22 13:17 Comment # 209023 edit comment
Anyone think of a good reason not to sell ARNA and buy ATRS?? A CEO that believes in company and knows what he is doing and has approved products????
ARNA,,down again today…..what am I missing….tia
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39.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 13:25 Comment # 209024 edit comment
@CORBISIER, look, you are saying “I will take your word that BCRX was $1.50 when you said buy” – you are not making me a favor.
I did, and too many subscribers here know it.
It was LESS than $1.50 .
Please follow me: “LESS than $1.50″ Mr. “accountability”.
Now, please check what were the EXACT numbers when I said BUY regarding all 3 of them.
I’ve asked you a simple question: 8x is good enough for you?
First you’ll have to admit how much all 3 went up by now even without selling and buying again.
You’ve asked for it and you’ll get it.
You’ll have to apologize and to admit I was right (just like I said I’m sorry for being wrong regarding ARNA this year).
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40.
oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-22 14:03 Comment # 209025 edit comment
@MR. WILLIAM HINES,
—– Which ever direction to take in this “fork” in the road….good luck to you….!! .. I don’t like either stock, right now, and would NOT add……..
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41.
Artbill User ID: 3456 @ 2014-12-22 14:22 Comment # 209026 edit comment
MM or others, Is gold finished for now meaning is it “breaking bad” to the down side?
How would China helping Russia by weaning the world off of the $ effect the U.S. and particularly the gold market?
TIA
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42.
CORBISIER User ID: 3282 @ 2014-12-22 14:31 Comment # 209027 edit comment
@Yossi You made the trades so why don’t you tell me when you made them? 8X is great but not the 13X you bragged about until I called you out.
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43.
keds User ID: 3766 @ 2014-12-22 14:39 Comment # 209028 edit comment
Yossi and Corb, Please take your petty bickering to email or another forum. It’s tiresome. Yossi rec’d bcxx at a very low number.
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44.
John Quinn User ID: 11223 @ 2014-12-22 14:40 Comment # 209029 edit comment
I sold out of my Arena today. Lost 35 cents per share. I THINK it may recover, but I don’t want to wait a year, because the large cap biotechs and tech companies are so much easier and quicker to make money with.
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45.
Don User ID: 4437 @ 2014-12-22 15:14 Comment # 209032 edit comment
@keds, I agree this bickering is not helpful
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46.
Don User ID: 4437 @ 2014-12-22 15:15 Comment # 209033 edit comment
@John Quinn, Which biotechs do you like?
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47.
Don User ID: 4437 @ 2014-12-22 15:33 Comment # 209034 edit comment
MM OR ANONE ANY IDEAS WHAT IS THE REASON FOR SO MUCH VOLUME IN PZG AND NO MOVEMENT IN THE STOCK PRICE? ARE THE SHORTS EXITING ?
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48.
ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-22 15:45 Comment # 209035 edit comment
NWI – GOLD—- egads….. + ARNA …$3.80 (- $0.19) – 4.76%….
A Long way from Murphy $22 ??
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF (NUGT)… $9.69 Down -$1.74….(-15.25%)
http://finance.yahoo.com/quotes/EGD.V,OOO.V,GDXJ,GDX,PZG,cde,PPP,SII.TO,sil,sand,TIL.V,CEF
NWI stocks on Yahoo >>> http://goo.gl/ADvEjZ
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49.
John Quinn User ID: 11223 @ 2014-12-22 16:13 Comment # 209036 edit comment
@Don, GILD, REGN, BIIB, ACT, CELG, BMRN, ISIS, MDVN, JAZZ, SHPG, ALXN, MNK, JUNO. ILMN, AKRX.
Pretty much in that order too.
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50.
Don User ID: 4437 @ 2014-12-22 17:09 Comment # 209037 edit comment
@John Quinn, Thank John Unfortunately I don’t have enough money to buy a gild of any amount . I have lost most of my money.
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51.
Don User ID: 4437 @ 2014-12-22 17:14 Comment # 209038 edit comment
once again the specialist for PZG puts a trade after the market close well below the bid and they call it the last trade. How do they get away with this?
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52.
Curious1 User ID: 5642 @ 2014-12-22 17:14 Comment # 209039 edit comment
got this from arna YMB from gscgaryc:
Scripts week ended 12/12: unconfirmed from IV not my source
Holiday weeks of course should be taken with a grain of salt. All of this is in my humble opinion.
per daxtrdr on IV
B TRx/NRx 10762/7618 -7.6%/-5.6%.
Q TRx/NRx 10385/7097 -4.9%/-2.6%.
C TRx/NRx 6008/5844 +11.0%/+10.6%.
_______________
Otrexup is more flat than down:
from drroid78 on YMB:
Scripts
12/12 Total 520 New 259
12/05 Total 529 New 275
387K USD
Rasuvo 87 vs 70
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53.
Curious1 User ID: 5642 @ 2014-12-22 17:18 Comment # 209040 edit comment
@Don, Gold is down another 20 bucks or so. Don’t worry, nobody is cheating you.
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54.
Don User ID: 4437 @ 2014-12-22 17:19 Comment # 209041 edit comment
@Don, So I put a trade in after hours and made it above the clase but they did not change the LAST TRADE. IS THIS MANIPUALTION OR WHAT?
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55.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 17:24 Comment # 209042 edit comment
@Curious1,
http://www.investorvillage.com/smbd.asp?mb=633&mn=143199&pt=msg&mid=14495221
http://www.investorvillage.com/smbd.asp?mb=633&mn=143186&pt=msg&mid=14495065
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56.
Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-22 17:45 Comment # 209043 edit comment
@CORBISIER, ok, you are getting there step by step (I know it’s not easy for you but you’ll be able to make it).
Now please tell this board about how much GWP and BAVA went UP since I’ve recommended them, and then we’ll go back and continue with BCRX Mr. “accountability”.
I must say you are improving; you are doing well and you are almost there…
To slander (and I’m not talking about once or twice) without checking is very easy…
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57.
CORBISIER User ID: 3282 @ 2014-12-22 18:58 Comment # 209044 edit comment
@Yossi it’s obvious you have zero documentation or you would have disclosed it. Go on and pump your recommendations your results will catch up to you just like they have to MM.
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58.
Chris User ID: 3656 @ 2014-12-22 19:33 Comment # 209045 edit comment
BDSI — A couple Radr Reports ago, MM had the Bunavail Rx #s for its first three full weeks on the market. I don’t have week 4, but week 5 was about 550.
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59.
MR. PATRICK OCONNELL User ID: 3844 @ 2014-12-22 19:40 Comment # 209046edit comment
my subscription ran out for a few months and I decided not to renew because after 10 years I’m down 30%. a few months later was invited back and decided to try again. all 16 of my stocks from this newsletter are down in red. the only money I’ve made in last three years was my personal stocks like Netflix, facebook and zimmer holdings. I enjoy listening to all of you so I’m paying for this entertainment until my subscription runs out again and I’ll be done. Thank you all for the entertainment.
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60.
John Quinn User ID: 11223 @ 2014-12-22 19:52 Comment # 209047 edit comment
@Don, sometimes I only buy 5-10 shares of REGN at at time, knowing I will more than make up the $5 trade costs to buy and sell on the 10-20% swings it has every few weeks to every few months.
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61.
John Quinn User ID: 11223 @ 2014-12-22 19:58 Comment # 209048 edit comment
@Don, one stock with less risk is AAPL. My dad has 700% profit on his AAPL shares I bought in his Roth a few years ago. He had everything in an annuity, but I had him put it into Scottrade and into 100% Apple when it dropped under $100 a few years ago before its 7 to 1 split. It was 100% of his account at that time, now AAPL is probably 80% of his account. AAPL also pays an almost 2% dividend which should be raised, possibly a lot, in the next few years with the earnings they should have. I have AAPL in all my accounts, my brother’s accounts, my aunts’ accounts and my dad’s account.
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62.
Michael User ID: 11373 @ 2014-12-22 20:00 Comment # 209049 edit comment
@MR. PATRICK OCONNELL, right with you. My own picks, TASR, IMAX, BIDU have done WAY better than anything on this board. The final straw for me was the DNDN BK and the PZG sell for 1/15 of the 5 year predicted price.
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63.
LIONARY1 User ID: 3653 @ 2014-12-22 20:11 Comment # 209050 edit comment
@Don, is this you–60 shares at $.99?
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/PZG
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64.
LIONARY1 User ID: 3653 @ 2014-12-22 20:20 Comment # 209051 edit comment
@MR. WILLIAM HINES, biotechs were down 2.5% today, and another 1% after the close. So not surprising ARNA is down today.http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/fund/IBB
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65.
Mitchell User ID: 6987 @ 2014-12-22 20:38 Comment # 209052 edit comment
@CORBISIER, It was predicted that Belviq would be approved in Mexico, Canada, Brazil, and I forget where else. Of course, with every prediction of one of the approvals, came a prediction of a significant increase in the PPS.
It always blew my mind for them to predict Mexico would approve (and I don’t doubt they may at some point) but the predicted runup based on Mexico approval was hilarious.
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66.
Gary User ID: 4603 @ 2014-12-22 20:38 Comment # 209053 edit comment
@ Yossi, Thanks for sharing your knowledge.
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67.
fosterg User ID: 6520 @ 2014-12-22 21:10 Comment # 209054 edit comment
@yossi, I appreciate it too!
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68.
oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-22 21:29 Comment # 209055 edit comment
@MR. PATRICK OCONNELL,
*****my subscription ran out for a few months and I decided not to renew because after 10 years I’m down 30%.*****
——- That “IS” horrendous results for a stocks subscriptions service….and Murphy cannot even offer a 1 yr. free subscription to old timers “UNDERWATER” …???
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69.
fosterg User ID: 6520 @ 2014-12-22 21:46 Comment # 209056 edit comment
@anyone know if AEMD might be a good buy at this price$.27?
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70.
bobglyc User ID: 6229 @ 2014-12-22 22:42 Comment # 209057 edit comment
@oldster3, I agree. MM, Current subscribers should get a “free one year” added on to their account for the very poor performance. I have no profits to pay for adding anything! New subscribers should get the price break, and any current subscribers willing to pay for a longer subscription, or having the means to do so on their own. But every current subscriber should get a free year NOW…NO STRINGS ATTACHED, and a commitment to redouble your efforts for making money. Face it. You have truthfully lost a lot of money for a great deal of people following your investment advice.
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71.
John Quinn User ID: 11223 @ 2014-12-22 22:53 Comment # 209058 edit comment
After selling out of Arena, I have no positions in NWI stocks. When stocks that are down so much start to rise, their rallies get sold into very hard, capping gains, as people looking to just get out on any pop sell, and then the buyers at the different prices on the way up sell at break even.
I will follow the board though, as there at least 6 posters that I think are very good sources of information.
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72.
tradelilly User ID: 7235 @ 2014-12-22 23:13 Comment # 209059 edit comment
@Curious1, contrave script # ….. impressive. Eisai, watch and learn.
All this in pre-holidays weeks. Wow.
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73.
Carl Flygt User ID: 6058 @ 2014-12-23 00:23 Comment # 209060 edit comment
Next to MM, Yossi is the most knowledgeable poster on the board. WRT biotech, he is probably the most knowledgeable.
+
I just wish MM and Yossi understood the professional money managers.
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74.
oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-23 01:00 Comment # 209061 edit comment
@fosterg,
AEMD…
I have a small position, bought at $0.27….That’ll be a hold….
+
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AEMD&p=W&b=2&g=0&id=p61423073368&a=377732011
——– She appears to be building a “base” for her next moves higher…….
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75.
DR. DAVID KAUFMAN User ID: 3233 @ 2014-12-23 01:54 Comment # 209062 edit comment
@Donald Galamaga, So sad though completely keeping with the direction of American healthcare: a pharmacy benefits manager dictating what med can be used to treat HCV regardless of doctor knowledge and concern. As an HIV specialist for 30+ years I will tell you that dictating use of drug that requires 3 pills in AM and one in PM vs one pill a day will result in decreased compliance and increased treatment failures. But hey, it’s all about immediate dollars and who makes an extra buck (read kickbacks to PBM) not about thoughtful patient centric healthcare.
In terms of Belviq, once the malpractice starts against Q and C maybe those lawyers will figure out how to sue the PBMs. Now THAT would be progress. And the B may be the last drug standing….Happy New Year to all.
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Michael Murphy User ID: 7191 @ 2014-12-23 01:58 Comment # 209063 edit comment
@Michael, it doesn’t integrate with Wishlist Member yet. Soon, I hope.
“$247 for horrible stock advice? Pass”
I think I turned this around over six months ago. Sounds like you missed DRTX, KERX, BDSI and BIOZF? POZN still down, but it is obvious they will get approval. Bitcoin – we’ll know in two months.
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Carl Flygt User ID: 6058 @ 2014-12-23 06:56 Comment # 209064 edit comment
C’mon, MM. Time to admit you don’t really understand the world.
+
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-12-23/cheaper-oil-putting-gold-out-of-job-as-an-inflation-hedge.html
+
I think the problem is that you don’t have a positive picture of the world situation. You can’t say what the world will look like in 50 years. You can’t say what the infrastructure will be, what the government will be, how the currencies will work or what people’s values will be. Arena seems to me to be a very good guess, because nobody really wants to put up with fat, sick people, but nothing else you’ve touted comes close to preparing for the megashift. Not individualized medicine. Not bitcoin (http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-12-23/and-2014s-worst-currency-wasbitcoin). Not even your ridiculous speculations about the flu.
+
Do you actually know what the megashift is?
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STEVEPA72 User ID: 3296 @ 2014-12-23 07:32 Comment # 209066 edit comment
@bobglyc,
amen to that. i have been a subscriber for 10 years and have done nothing but lose money.
I deserve a free subscription !!!
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keni User ID: 10237 @ 2014-12-23 08:06 Comment # 209068 edit comment
@fosterg, Im also holding some higher and some lower.
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keni User ID: 10237 @ 2014-12-23 08:11 Comment # 209069 edit comment
Schiff on the phony recovery
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mdPcmeHoTfI
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Rich E User ID: 4936 @ 2014-12-23 08:29 Comment # 209070 edit comment
@MR. PATRICK OCONNELL, Sorry to read about your losses over these many years. I’m right there in that sinking ship with you. It sounds like you’ve also decided you don’t need Mr. Murphy’s very expensive advice to help you LOSE money either!!! I’m only in PZG, ARNA and PMs (physical). Best of luck to you going forward.
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keni User ID: 10237 @ 2014-12-23 08:30 Comment # 209071 edit comment
BCRX 6:17 am BioCryst Pharm announced results from a proof-of-concept study of its antiviral BCX4430 for the treatment of experimental Ebola virus infection in rhesus macaques (BCRX) : Animals were dosed with either placebo, 16 mg/kg of BCX4430 BID or 25 mg/kg of BCX4430 BID.
Survival at day 41 in the 16 mg/kg group of BCX4430 treated animals was 4 of 6 (66.7%, p
The overall survival rate for BCX4430 treated animals at day 41 was 10 of 12 (83%, p
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Rich E User ID: 4936 @ 2014-12-23 08:36 Comment # 209072 edit comment
@John Quinn, Ironic, isn’t it, that the most valuable part of NWI is not the advice provided by Mr. Murphy but by the subscribers who generously contribute comments to this board. Sad!!!
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-23 09:11 Comment # 209073 edit comment
@Rich E,
—– I have confidence that Murphy has a “heart” for his old timers……..
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Carl Flygt User ID: 6058 @ 2014-12-23 09:42 Comment # 209074 edit comment
Fifty years ago (1964) the megashift would have been:
1. The collapse/reworking of communism;
2. The rise of China;
3. The Federal Reserve’s response to stagflation;
4. Ronald Reagan;
5. The Apple computer;
6. Microsoft;
7. The internet;
8. The Google search engine;
9. The 2008 failure of Bush/Greenspan.
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Donald Galamaga User ID: 6844 @ 2014-12-23 09:55 Comment # 209075 edit comment
@DR. DAVID KAUFMAN, great observation. I hope I am wrong about the PBM’s and Belviq. As if the impact on drug costs lie solely with the Pharma. How about trial lawyers and the archaic and costly FDA approval process and the terrible substance abuse review process, etc
Put the individual patient response profile into the mix and the silliness of how the PBM process is structured becomes evident. Needs some Congressional oversight, IMHO..
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pwon User ID: 6212 @ 2014-12-23 10:09 Comment # 209076 edit comment
Mr. Murphy,
A couple of things: 1) With the economy growing at 5%, does that change things for the fundamentals of gold? and 2) Why does PZG seem to trade lower than the 0.2016 ratio with CDE?
Thanks and Merry Christmas!
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Carl Flygt User ID: 6058 @ 2014-12-23 10:09 Comment # 209077 edit comment
Today it seems merely obvious that the professional money managers relevant to Arena are big pharmaceutical interests looking to buy it out at a low price.
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BTGOLD User ID: 3873 @ 2014-12-23 10:12 Comment # 209078 edit comment
@keni, I don’t know why people listen to that guy … to be sure, someday he’ll be right, but NOT following his advice for that last several years has been the right call. I work for a big industrials company and all evidence says the economy is doing great.
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-23 10:23 Comment # 209079 edit comment
OREX…
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=OREX&p=60&b=2&g=0&id=p20617951439&a=352743868
——- Her butt’s bouncing off recent support……..
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Rich User ID: 4638 @ 2014-12-23 10:43 Comment # 209080 edit comment
MM – I wouldn’t say you’ve exactly “turned it around” yet. My primary longtime NWI “core holdings” — ARNA, PZG, AXPW, IFNY, QUIK, ATRS, and TWER are all going nowhere fasst. Very scary and unnerving.
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Zachary Haney User ID: 7219 @ 2014-12-23 11:08 Comment # 209081 edit comment
@Rich, qrxpy
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Carl Flygt User ID: 6058 @ 2014-12-23 11:18 Comment # 209082 edit comment
It seems to me that the strongest possible support of the Arena share price would be the achievement of profitability. I’ve read that this could happen in 2015 on the strength of Belviq sales.
It also seems that if Jack has his shareholders’ interests uppermost in his mind, he would make profitability a very public goal, and would give guidance toward it. He would publicly eschew any financial actions that might undermine or delay it.
Finally, it seems to me that shareholders might be persuaded to gang up on Jack to convince him to take this public route.
Mr. J?
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John Quinn User ID: 11223 @ 2014-12-23 11:31 Comment # 209083 edit comment
Everyone seems aligned against Arena.
Article just out on companies/stock to profit from the global obesity epidemic. 8 stocks including a healthy foods supplier and a sporting goods chain. Plus Orex. No mention of Belviq.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/profit-obesity-epidemic-215450163.html
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-23 11:39 Comment # 209084 edit comment
@ Yossi,
……I am concerned that Jim Stevens a Day 1 ARENIAC LEADER
a past ARNA poster defender on InvestorVillage is now calling for the replacement of Arena CEO/ Jack Lief immediately and that ARENA Pharm’s best opportunity for success in 2015 is to be bought out .
Stevens also has very little respect for the ARNA Pipeline
What do you think …… ? Is Jim Stevens on target – be very specific ….. Just Reality – Thanks
ARNA now approaching previous 2014 low $3.29 as many dump before Dec 31, 2014 as a Tax Loss ?
Stevens also calls the ARNA pipeline window dressing and no real depth
———————————————-
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keni User ID: 10237 @ 2014-12-23 11:51 Comment # 209085 edit comment
@BTGOLD, Im no longer taking sides (That cost me money) Just putting it out there so guys like you comment on it. Thanks . by the way what type of business are you in.
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fosterg User ID: 6520 @ 2014-12-23 11:52 Comment # 209086 edit comment
@oldster3, Thanks for that.
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neil mac User ID: 5802 @ 2014-12-23 12:03 Comment # 209087 edit comment
@ShowMe,
*** I am concerned that Jim Stevens a Day 1 ARENIAC LEADER ***
Not good for ARNA when he says what he said and throws in the towel??
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Chris User ID: 3656 @ 2014-12-23 12:10 Comment # 209088 edit comment
@keni,BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq:BCRX) today announced results from a proof-of-concept study of its broad spectrum antiviral BCX4430 for the treatment of experimental Ebola virus infection in rhesus macaques, conducted at the United States Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases (USAMRIID).
The primary goal of the study was to assess the effect of BCX4430 treatment on survival through Day 41 in animals infected with Ebola virus. Dosing of placebo or BCX4430 by intramuscular (i.m.) injection was initiated 30-120 minutes after virus challenge and continued twice a day (BID) for 14 days.
Animals were dosed with either placebo, 16 mg/kg of BCX4430 BID or 25 mg/kg of BCX4430 BID. Survival at day 41 in the 16 mg/kg group of BCX4430 treated animals was 4 of 6 (66.7%, p<0.001 compared to 0% survival in controls) and 6 of 6 in the 25 mg/kg treated group (100%, p<0.001 compared to controls). The overall survival rate for BCX4430 treated animals at day 41 was 10 of 12 (83%, p<0.001 compared to controls). Preliminary evaluation of the quantity of virus in the blood showed an approximate 3-log reduction in Ebola virus RNA copies/mL of plasma, compared with control animals.
"These results provide important evidence of BCX4430's potential as a treatment for Ebola virus disease," said Dr. William P. Sheridan, Chief Medical Officer at BioCryst. "We look forward to completing the ongoing Phase 1 clinical safety trial of BCX4430 in healthy volunteers and working with our U.S. Government partners in continuing the nonclinical and clinical development of this potential antiviral medical countermeasure."
The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, part of the National Institutes of Health, is funding this project under Contract No. HHSN272201300017C.
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Don User ID: 4437 @ 2014-12-23 12:15 Comment # 209089 edit comment
Oldster Do you have a book I did not know that , What is the name and where can we get it?
PZG UP 11 %
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Rich E User ID: 4936 @ 2014-12-23 12:20 Comment # 209090 edit comment
@keni, A major pet peeve of mine are politicians masquerading as investment news letter writers such as Lee Bellinger, Richard Young, Stansberry and others too numerous to mention by name but you know who I’m talking about. Mr. Murphy does not fall into this category and is a reason I’ve stuck with NWI as long as I have. All I’ve asked for from these newsletters over the years is sound competent investment advice sans the political pap. If the advice provided is sound money can be made no matter who is in the White House or which party runs Congress.
The politicians sell investment newsletters by plugging into our biases and pushing our political hot buttons. Lastly, when their advice results in failure they point to their political opponents as the reason for their failure.
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MR. RUSSELL LAUDON User ID: 3290 @ 2014-12-23 12:23 Comment # 209091edit comment
@Carl Manthei Flygt, Cheap oil is due to oversupply from shale, tar sands. Those who claim inflation is dead don’t do shopping in the real world. The items that matter are up significantly–rent, food, medical insurance, medical malpractice insurance, college tuition. As MM says, cheap oil is not a tax cut–it is an indicator of bad times for an important US oil industry. This will increase odds of recession which will create more money printing and eventual bad inflation.
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-23 12:31 Comment # 209092 edit comment
@Neil Steele mac,
What follows is a “version” of ARNA’s downtrending channel……this same “version” appears on hedgies software, I believe, so it grabs some attention of the players
http://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=arna&ty=c&ta=1&p=d
—– Note the slope & boundaries displayed here…….. she’s now trying to break BELOW some key support………
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-23 12:38 Comment # 209093 edit comment
@Don,
—- Are you asking about my “Edwards and Magee” book on T.A. of Stock Trends….?? You get these, used & cheap, on eBay or more expensively at Amazon……
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-23 12:47 Comment # 209094 edit comment
@oldster3,
……You mean $22.00 is confirmed out for Dec 31, 2014…..
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-23 12:56 Comment # 209095 edit comment
ShowMe,
— Do we believe in —– miracles —— ??
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-23 13:25 Comment # 209096 edit comment
@oldster3,
Jack Lief please a new BELVIQ ( better than Dr OZ ) weight loss Believe Ad Campaign fast ……
We could hit $5 by Jan 17, 2015
Truthiness confirmed ….
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MR. DIRK MARTIN User ID: 4977 @ 2014-12-23 13:27 Comment # 209097 edit comment
MR MURPHY
I HAVE TRIED 3 TIMES TO GO THROUGH CONTACT SUPPORT TO GET THEM TO CONTACT ME FOR THE INFORMATION CONCERNING THE FREE 6 MONTH SUBSCRIPTION I RECEIVE WITH MY RENEWAL. EACH TIME I HIT SUBMIT IT SAYS, ONE MOMENT PLEASE. AND NEVER MOVES. I WANT TO GIVE IT TO MY GRANDSON FOR CHRISTMAS. IF I DON’T HEAR FROM SOMEONE BY DEC. 24 I WILL CANCEL MY ORDER. I HAVE BEE A SUBSCRIBER SINCE 1999.
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Artbill User ID: 3456 @ 2014-12-23 13:43 Comment # 209098 edit comment
Yossi, Do you still believe in BLRX?
Do you rate it a buy at the current price?
TIA
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-23 14:08 Comment # 209099 edit comment
Another possibility in the Showme BELVIQ Ad Campaign ……
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MR. WILLIAM HINES User ID: 2944 @ 2014-12-23 14:12 Comment # 209100 edit comment
@MR. DIRK MARTIN, I’m not hearing from support either????
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neil mac User ID: 5802 @ 2014-12-23 14:37 Comment # 209101 edit comment
@MR. WILLIAM HINES,
MM wrote this yesterday:
” Our wonderful customer service will email you for the name and email of the recipient of your gift, and help them set up their account.”
???????
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Michael User ID: 11373 @ 2014-12-23 15:18 Comment # 209102 edit comment
Why on earth would anyone want to give this “service” as a gift to a friend?
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Michael User ID: 11373 @ 2014-12-23 15:28 Comment # 209103 edit comment
So the last year or so gold rolled over taking all the miners (NWI overweight) and now biotech is rolling over (NWI overweight).
Queue up the music:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=leO1h5YCCiE
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KEN C User ID: 4724 @ 2014-12-23 15:46 Comment # 209104 edit comment
MM: Thank you for your non-response. You answered my question. Good luck on your new format in 2015 and beyond … Now selling the remaining NWI recommendations. Merry Christmas and Happy New Year everyone. Good bye … KC
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Gregory User ID: 6909 @ 2014-12-23 16:38 Comment # 209105 edit comment
@KEN C, Murphy is the modern day equivalent of the good ole day “snake oil salesmen”. Always have an answer for whatever ails one….then when the old oil doesn’t work, they offer a “new improved oil”. Well…Murphy has made a fortune at the expense of most of the people who subscribe to his newsletter. We are the fools….and he continues to laugh all the way to the bank. In the good ole days…people like MM would be run out of town, tarred and feathered….
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-23 17:43 Comment # 209106 edit comment
@Michael, ………..MM response to you …..
” I think I turned this around over six months ago. Sounds like you missed DRTX, KERX, BDSI and BIOZF? POZN still down, but it is obvious they will get approval. Bitcoin – we’ll know in two months.”
….The actual NWI New Stock Add detail below ….. does not include BK of DNDN, VELT, or EXIDE all 3 Sold in 2014
+
—
Sincere Question for Michael Murphy – When you have had 3 Bankruptcies in 2014 and the collapse of Gold in 2nd half of 2014 how could you possibly state
………………………….. — “….I think I turned this around six month ago” ??….
appreciate your response — thank you
+
Add ……………………..FYI
2014 3 NWI Bankruptcy Losses DNDN , VELT , EXIDE + one Lost insurance
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TCTANG User ID: 3968 @ 2014-12-23 17:47 Comment # 209107 edit comment
@Gregory, I agree with all that you said. When the market is up, NWI stocks are down. But we are the fools; MM is the wise man. By following him faithfully over many years, I have lost a great amount of my wealth. It is about time that we wake up and act a little wiser.
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neil mac User ID: 5802 @ 2014-12-23 17:50 Comment # 209108 edit comment
@ShowMe,
There were also numerous purchases of insurance that losers !!!!
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-23 17:56 Comment # 209109 edit comment
@Neil Steele mac,
If you post insurance IN/OUT performance detail will add to spreadsheet — Thanks
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-23 18:22 Comment # 209110 edit comment
@CORBISIER, you wrote “It cant be any worse than following your stock pumping” – do you have any documentation regarding that Mr. “accountability”?
BTW, never asked you to follow my recommendations.
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-23 18:22 Comment # 209111 edit comment
BLRX
http://seekingalpha.com/news/2195785-biolinerx-out-licenses-dermatology-drug
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-23 18:24 Comment # 209112 edit comment
@Artbill, yes.
http://seekingalpha.com/news/2195785-biolinerx-out-licenses-dermatology-drug
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-23 18:29 Comment # 209113 edit comment
@ShowMe,
I think they should move fast forward with BelSmoke, BelPhen, and BelMet.
The market should know their plan; they must show they are committed to move fast forward regarding all 3.
When I say BelPhen and BelMet I don’t mean it has to be in one tablet (the combo).
They should run appropriate clinical trials to convince docs regarding efficacy and safety, and for changing the label.
Pipeline is great but it should be given lower priority.
I’m not going to defend Jack, I’ll just say that Jim is still long ARNA!
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-23 18:39 Comment # 209114 edit comment
@Carl Manthei Flygt, unlike some others you know that although I was wrong regarding ARNA this year, I’m not telling “stories” regarding BCRX, GWP, and BAVA.
BTW, I made more money with ARNA than with any other stock during my life.
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Michael User ID: 11373 @ 2014-12-23 18:44 Comment # 209115 edit comment
@ShowMe, meanwhile DNDN goes BK and PZG sells out for 1/15 of the long standing $15 target. I fully expect ARNA to be the WRONG weight loss horse in the race.
I still own 10 bitcoins …
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-23 18:45 Comment # 209116 edit comment
@John Quinn, there are more than 6 valuable posters here imo but NWI performance last 30 months is very bad.
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-23 18:50 Comment # 209117 edit comment
@oldster3, we agree about that!
Many here deserve a free subscription!
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jcs User ID: 3408 @ 2014-12-23 19:00 Comment # 209118 edit comment
@Yossi, Ok guys it’s;a wet paper brokerage statements at 10 paces on the count of 3.
Alexander Hamilton formerly employed by the U S Treasury will fill you both in on the rules,,………
Yossi get’s two extra days for preparation since he’s not a North American resident.
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-23 19:01 Comment # 209119 edit comment
@Michael,
ARNA —– still has an excellent recovery chance – but needs a NEW CEO before April 1 with big Pharma Profitability success not like the 2 Idiots brought in to Save Dendreon
2nd CEO replacement was brought in to set up the DNDN into BK in July 2014
Not sure if anyone noticed this both ARENA PHARM and DENDREON had debt with Deerfield ……. ??
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jcs User ID: 3408 @ 2014-12-23 19:07 Comment # 209120 edit comment
@MR MICHAEL HAAS, I case noone has noticed, Bummer Care will eventually and rather quickly degenerate that the lowest cost is not only best but the only for most of us. After all, since no medication is 100%, the rest of us healthy tax payers are better off without those folks who need those costly meds. Let ‘em go,
This pending rule does not apply to former Presidents, Current Presidents (in case he runs for a 3rd term) and members of congress who have served at least two terms.
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jcs User ID: 3408 @ 2014-12-23 19:10 Comment # 209121 edit comment
@oldster3, To MM, please create a new forum message pool. Let’s just call it “foodfight”.
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jcs User ID: 3408 @ 2014-12-23 19:14 Comment # 209122 edit comment
@Curious1, did you confirm this using real time (tick) data? And that PZG actuall has a specialist.?
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-23 19:20 Comment # 209123 edit comment
@Yossi, ————Does FREE make it a better service ?
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-23 19:31 Comment # 209124 edit comment
@Yossi,
But what % of your original Huge Lorc FDA Approval Profits did you put back in or leave in 2013-2014-2015-2016 Call Options and Stock ?
— Appreciate your input and your lessons learned here
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-23 19:41 Comment # 209125 edit comment
@MR. RUSSELL LAUDON,
…..But different this time ….. Cheap Oil is being forced by OPEC to kill competitive fracking OIL supply in the US
Oil is not going down because of weak demand – just Greedy OPEC willing now to take much less profit — OPEC cost per barrel is 10-12 bucks and they are rich already so they can control downside price and still have profitablility
Demand is present for OIL and will remain until Battery powered cars are at minimum ~ +40% market share and range is over 200 Miles with each charge
SO in my opinion — no recession or mild one at best …
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-23 19:47 Comment # 209126 edit comment
@Michael, …………….and you called me a Troll ….
10 days bread and water… in solitary – Boulder Bunker Basement Cell 221 with daily electroshock
….and cover your own traveling expenses but CF most likely can get you a ride in a fast truck
Asheville to Boulder
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MR. ARVEL BURKE User ID: 3433 @ 2014-12-23 19:58 Comment # 209127 edit comment
@bruno machado da silva,
ditto
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Michael Murphy User ID: 7191 @ 2014-12-23 20:03 Comment # 209128 edit comment
@pwon, 1) not really, because our government will continue to run large fiscal deficits and the Fed will do whatever it takes to fight deflation, where the pressures now are worse due to low oil prices. Worldwide, all central banks have decided to debase their currencies to either fight deflation or get a trade advantage.
2. The discount is set by arbitrageurs, who look at the likelihood the deal will close, and the length of time they have to hold the position. Today they make 2.85% in 75 days, which they can lever 10-1 with margin. The discount will shirik over time
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Michael Murphy User ID: 7191 @ 2014-12-23 20:08 Comment # 209129 edit comment
@MR. DIRK MARTIN, sent to customer service. She is buried but will get everyone caught up.
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MR. Allen User ID: 3324 @ 2014-12-23 20:14 Comment # 209130 edit comment
This board of participants is sounding more and more like the typical American that wants to blame somebody else for there own shortcomings and get bailed out when they make the wrong decision I would venture to say most are w-2 people and not 1099 people (employee versus owner mentality). If you don’t like what your getting stop doing what your doing. And please just go away and non subscribe. Don’t be whipping boys and girls and then stay as a subscriber complaining. Nobody forced you to sign up and nobody forces you to stay. This is the real world at NWI. You are responsible for your decisions and you must live by them. I have made and lost money but I made the choice to buy and sell the recommendations. I own my actions. I would suggest you all start acting the same. Otherwise it takes away from a wealth of information that could be useful on this board.
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Michael Murphy User ID: 7191 @ 2014-12-23 20:15 Comment # 209131 edit comment
@KEN C, what did I miss responding to?
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Michael Murphy User ID: 7191 @ 2014-12-23 20:21 Comment # 209132 edit comment
Here Is The Reason For The “Surge” In Q3 GDP
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Opie User ID: 3054 @ 2014-12-23 20:31 Comment # 209133 edit comment
@Yossi, same here. Bet big in early 2012 paid off well. Right now seems another good entry point IMHO. Might take years but the odds favor a very nice percentage return IMHO. I don’t know any other stock I’m as confident of long-term success. I hope they don’t sell the company this year at a modest price.
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actionjack User ID: 5546 @ 2014-12-23 20:36 Comment # 209134 edit comment
Started a position in $BDSI today, 1/3 position. Looks of news coming in first 1/3 of the year
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Opie User ID: 3054 @ 2014-12-23 20:38 Comment # 209135 edit comment
@ShowMe, she might lose weight in all the wrong places!
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Donald Galamaga User ID: 6844 @ 2014-12-23 21:08 Comment # 209136 edit comment
@Michael Murphy, I would like your take on the impact of the Express Scripts and CVS Caremark decision impact on ARNA
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-23 21:53 Comment # 209137 edit comment
@actionjack,
……….How is that 1/3 ——1/3—— 1/3 Bit Coin position doing for you ———?
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-23 22:09 Comment # 209138 edit comment
BIOTECHNOLOGY…
—— uh-oh….. (early call, here…..)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$BTK&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p24885800077&a=381859546
——- A likely “scary” pattern is shaping up here…….just word-to-the-wise
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-23 22:17 Comment # 209139 edit comment
@Donald Galamaga,
BIG DEAL….IMHO….. could effect the entire biotech bunch….IMHO……
—- look how GILD responded….to the Express Scripts news…..
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?GILD
+
An “uncertainty factor” gets applied to many biotechs as to whether their profits are knowable…..
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NCbeach User ID: 4061 @ 2014-12-23 22:44 Comment # 209140 edit comment
@MR. Allen, I second that.
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NCbeach User ID: 4061 @ 2014-12-23 22:49 Comment # 209141 edit comment
@BTGOLD, Many people mistakenly believe Schiff is a total gold bug and makes no other recommendations. Actually, he has clients positioned in stocks in many other countries and is NOT just a gold bug. If people would listen to everything he says and not just shut down when he starts discussing gold and the problems in the US I think the opinions would be better informed.
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NCbeach User ID: 4061 @ 2014-12-23 22:52 Comment # 209142 edit comment
@tradelilly, We’ll see what happens once the side effects start kicking in. ONE well publicized negative event will bring more reality to the risks this drug brings and that stuff spreads like wildfire among docs.
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bobglyc User ID: 6229 @ 2014-12-23 23:07 Comment # 209143 edit comment
@ShowMe, That’s what I want in MY stocking!!!
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ShowMe User ID: 6905 @ 2014-12-24 00:37 Comment # 209144 edit comment
Current as of Close 12-23-2014…. (23 / 29) – 79% Underwater [ -23.7% ] Loss Perf in 2014
Any comments / changes needed – RSVP
+
NWI stocks on Yahoo >>> http://goo.gl/ADvEjZ
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Curious1 User ID: 5642 @ 2014-12-24 01:27 Comment # 209145 edit comment
@ShowMe, Throwing darts is definitely better than the outcomes in your table. A river of blood. The misfortune is so vast, it is comical.
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Rich E User ID: 4936 @ 2014-12-24 02:34 Comment # 209146 edit comment
@Gregory,
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JINRNO User ID: 5925 @ 2014-12-24 02:52 Comment # 209147 edit comment
BCRX:
BioCryst Receives Orphan Drug Designation for BCX4161 for the Treatment of Hereditary Angioedema
http://investor.shareholder.com/biocryst/ReleaseDetail.cfm?ReleaseID=888899
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Hagar User ID: 3635 @ 2014-12-24 07:17 Comment # 209148 edit comment
Mr William Hines said: “Anyone think of a good reason not to sell ARNA and buy ATRS?? A CEO that believes in company and knows what he is doing and has approved products????”
Well other than the predicted rollover of biotek (which may or may not happen) I see no reason not to do as you suggest. The chart (in spite of Oldster’s negative vibes) seems MUCH better than Arna’s. Myself, I am indeed selling ARNA at opening today (the few shares I hold in a “tracking” mode), and putting equivalent in ATRS to track for awhile.
Bye Bye ARNA – Wish I could say it has been fun but – – –
IF ATRS holds above that 200 now and does not retrace to the lower green line, it will be even better.
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KC Kid User ID: 4111 @ 2014-12-24 08:41 Comment # 209149 edit comment
IFNY:
I tried 2 times to post this message on the IFNY forum but it didn’t work so here’s my message:
——– FINAL 12/24/14 —–
A few weeks back I sold my free IFNY lottery ticket. After tons of due diligence I have a +17.92% profit in IFNY over 5 years for an annualized gain of 3.35%.
That profit was derived from my profit-protection trades in 2013 and 2014.
My time with IFNY was worth the experience but certainly not
worth the profit. I learned to NEVER invest in such a grossly under-
capitalized and early speculative company. DUH!
Thankfully I never invest more than I can comfortably afford to lose on any speculative position.
– KC
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-24 08:59 Comment # 209150 edit comment
@Curious1,
*****The misfortune is so vast, it is comical.*****
——- NOT to those suffering it..!!! .. NOT to them, at all……!!!
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Carl Flygt User ID: 6058 @ 2014-12-24 09:28 Comment # 209151 edit comment
@Michael Murphy, Jesus, you live in a complicated world.
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Donald Galamaga User ID: 6844 @ 2014-12-24 09:39 Comment # 209152 edit comment
@Michael Murphy, Is ARNA a sell?? 159 asks at 3.55 3 Buys at 3.54 as I write this??
On CNBC this AM, Cramer says entire weight loss group is a bust as he pumps a weight loss injection drug from NOVO. AF’s god father is adding to the misery as he also says the pharma group was affected by Express Scripts.Can we have your thoughts here??
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StephKam User ID: 3349 @ 2014-12-24 10:23 Comment # 209154 edit comment
This is for those who still trust Fox News:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/12/22/1353665/–Go-Kill-a-Cop-chant-a-Fake-Duplicitous-Editing-Job-by-Fox-Affiliate?detail=email#
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MR. DAVE GLISSMEYER User ID: 4345 @ 2014-12-24 10:46 Comment # 209155edit comment
@Carl Manthei Flygt, hind sight is 20/20
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John Quinn User ID: 11223 @ 2014-12-24 10:58 Comment # 209156 edit comment
@Hagar, As much as the best biotechs dropped this week up till today, I think that was about all the rollover you’re going to get. Too many expiring patents and big bios flush with cash looking to buy up smaller companies to jumpstart their growth. Plus the biggest biotechs all seem to have a few big catalysts each coming the next few years in addition to fairly high earnings growth the next 2 years.
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Jean Havelock User ID: 5057 @ 2014-12-24 11:00 Comment # 209157 edit comment
@Michael Murphy; NWI: You launch a major cut-price subscription renewal campaign, and you have only one “she” in customer support !
Is this indifference to or contempt of subscribers ?
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John Quinn User ID: 11223 @ 2014-12-24 11:00 Comment # 209158 edit comment
Went to sell CALM on their eanings miss affected by egg regulations which will probably affect them going forward, and I had already sold it a couple days ago, but had not updated my chart of holdings. A moment of relief.
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Mike User ID: 3207 @ 2014-12-24 11:05 Comment # 209159 edit comment
@KC Kid, So, you are the guy who made a profit in ifny. I was wondering if there was one.
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-24 11:05 Comment # 209160 edit comment
RUTH…
Buyin’ shares for a run higher…… (she might join the “rich folks” restaurant crowd…)
+
http://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RUTH&ty=c&ta=0&p=w
http://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=ruth&ty=c&ta=1&p=d
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John Quinn User ID: 11223 @ 2014-12-24 11:13 Comment # 209161 edit comment
I should just sell everything else besides Apple and buy into and sell out of Regeneron, the way that thing moves.
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John Quinn User ID: 11223 @ 2014-12-24 11:26 Comment # 209162 edit comment
@Yossi, I know that Yossi, I consider you one of the 6 though, and search for the posts from that group first before reading the others’.
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-24 11:26 Comment # 209163 edit comment
@John Quinn,
Believe the biotechs have had their run, for the most part……now, ObamaCare will decimate some of them as insurers take FULL control of the monies and leave fewer monies for many drug companies……
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John Quinn User ID: 11223 @ 2014-12-24 11:34 Comment # 209164 edit comment
@oldster3, Won’t happen. Insureds will not accept being forced into less effective, more dangerous, more inconvenient treatments just so insurers and pharmacy benefit managers can maximize their profits. I think the Abbvie deal is going to come under heavy anti-trust scrutiny. The medical companies have more money than most other groups and they heavily spend it on lobbying. The Abbvie deal will be overturned or modified is my guess.
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Rich E User ID: 4936 @ 2014-12-24 11:41 Comment # 209165 edit comment
@oldster3, Lose tens of thousands here, tens of thousands there, pretty soon you are talking real money in my world. If one doesn’t have a sense of humor in the face of human folly, the process of losing money can drive a person nuts. Humor is the best option IMHO.
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Jean Havelock User ID: 5057 @ 2014-12-24 11:44 Comment # 209166 edit comment
@Curious1; NWI: I have posted several times over the past couple of years that while I am delighted for those astute traders who have profited, I have been impoverished by MM’s buy and hold recommendations and fanciful targets..
Oldster3 picked up on “impoverished” and expressed deep sorrow. But, at that time, sadly, not many subscribers seem to have heeded the warning, and only now are expressing their dismay. .
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-24 11:51 Comment # 209167 edit comment
The two sides to this coin will be most interesting to watch…..
+
$BTK….
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$BTK&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p24885800077&a=381859546
——- believe this RED horizontal line to be a top…..for quite a while to come……..
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-24 11:56 Comment # 209168 edit comment
@John Quinn,
REGN….
Has ALSO seen her top, for a while……
+
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?REGN
P&F bearish to $344…… for now……..
+
Regardless “how” you play biotechs, good luck to you….and may the “lucky dogs” be along your side….!!!
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179.
Artbill User ID: 3456 @ 2014-12-24 12:28 Comment # 209169 edit comment
I know many people here have lost lots of money with MM’s buy and hold method, including me. But I try to put things in perspective. I am still reasonably healthy for 85, have great families and still enough money to be comfortable. So try to look at the bright side. Have a great holiday season and enjoy the here and now!
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oldster3 User ID: 6831 @ 2014-12-24 12:42 Comment # 209170 edit comment
@Artbill,
Great Advice….!!
——- Next Year….!!
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Donald Galamaga User ID: 6844 @ 2014-12-24 12:56 Comment # 209171 edit comment
@StephKam, affiliates of any of the majors are not the majors. If I had a penny for all the “local” affiliates mess ups, I would be a millionaire.
Hope this is not meant to deny the “Dead Cops” chant in NYC which I did see on FOX News.
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fosterg User ID: 6520 @ 2014-12-24 17:41 Comment # 209173 edit comment
Anyone know if POZN is very likely to get approved Dec. 30? Also, do our shares of PZG get converted automaticly to Ceur , or do we need to do something? Thanks.
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MR. RUSSELL LAUDON User ID: 3290 @ 2014-12-24 18:26 Comment # 209174edit comment
@Donald Galamaga, Right now, I don’t waste my time trying to get belviq coverage by insurance companies. Too many don’t cover it, and then the copays are too high. I tell the patient to take the free trial. If it works without side effects, they should be glad to spend the money. If they think that anything is more important than their health, I don’t want them as patients. When fatties are willing to spend $1000 for a few days as Disney, and more on excess eating at restaurants, I know they don’t give a damn. Forget insurance, and target the serious patients. After all, fen-phen succeeded with cash paying patients who were serious.
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RD User ID: 4913 @ 2014-12-24 18:30 Comment # 209175 edit comment
@StephKam, You have the wrong march. The “Cops Dead” chant was in NYC, Nice try. And, it was shown on Fox News. Even the NYC police chief has referred to it.
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-24 18:34 Comment # 209176 edit comment
@MR. ARVEL BURKE, @fosterg, @Gary Gathman, and all others:
Thank you!
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-24 18:44 Comment # 209177 edit comment
@John Quinn, problem is it seems that we lost Avo and Eze.
I really miss them.
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MR. RUSSELL LAUDON User ID: 3290 @ 2014-12-24 18:45 Comment # 209178edit comment
MM–HELP, PLEASE. I cannot gain access to the portfolio page. A statement appears–“Your membership level does not allow access to this content.” This started today. I can access the board pages. Thanks.
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-24 18:53 Comment # 209179 edit comment
@ShowMe, about 50% (part of it in Jan 15 Call 4 and Call 5, and part of it in Jan 16 Call 7).
First I sold all my Calls just before the first CRL, then I bought again cheap Calls that went up once again.
Even if all my Jan 15 Calls will expire worthless, still I made more profits with ARNA than with any other stock during all my life.
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-24 18:58 Comment # 209180 edit comment
@Opie, don’t think Jack will sell during next 12 months.
Yes, another good entry point – BUY when all the others are selling
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KC Kid User ID: 4111 @ 2014-12-24 18:58 Comment # 209181 edit comment
@Mike, LOL I just had some luck protecting my profit when IFNY mgmt got into what I thought were onerous loans. I sold down my position to make a profit even if my remaining stock went to zero. Thus the free lottery ticket I continued to hold.
With the profound drop in oil prices I cashed in that free lottery ticket to capture a little more profit. Now I hold zero IFNY shares.
It was the trading that made the money for me not buying and holding.
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-24 19:01 Comment # 209182 edit comment
@Chris snow, BCX4430 will help treating many virus diseases.
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-24 19:17 Comment # 209183 edit comment
@Michael, what on earth made you buy bitcoins?
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Yossi User ID: 6735 @ 2014-12-24 19:22 Comment # 209184 edit comment
@KEN C, sad you are leaving.
Good luck, and Happy New Year!
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Carl Flygt User ID: 6058 @ 2014-12-24 20:12 Comment # 209185 edit comment
Mohamed el- Erian is perfectly sanguine about the growth of the US economy. He recognizes pitfalls, of course, but he isn’t utterly disbelieving, as MM appears to be.
+
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-12-23/us-economy-leaves-the-world-behind
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Michael Murphy User ID: 7191 @ 2014-12-24 21:42 Comment # 209186 edit comment
The Christmas Eve Radar Report is posted.
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Michael Murphy User ID: 7191 @ 2014-12-24 21:42 Comment # 209187 edit comment
@MR. RUSSELL LAUDON, got it. Sent to customer service. This is a software issue and we can fix it.
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MR. DAVE GLISSMEYER User ID: 4345 @ 2014-12-25 11:13 Comment # 209207edit comment
@Artbill, Easilt thr POST OF THE DAY”. Bravo Artbill!!!
What flavor are those piers O3?
Happy Ho zho or whatever trips your trigger
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keds User ID: 3766 @ 2014-12-26 10:46 Comment # 209244 edit comment
The insanity of it all is summed up in the ” axpw, a core holding and buy under $10″, recommendation. Beyond comprehension.
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neil mac User ID: 5802 @ 2014-12-26 11:02 Comment # 209245 edit comment
MM – Still unable to get into tjhe “Portfolio section”: Error says:
“Membership Access
We’re sorry but your membership level does not grant you access to this content.”
Please advise !!!
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BUTDOIT User ID: 4070 @ 2014-12-29 19:45 Comment # 209444 edit comment
@Jean Havelock, Mirror Mirror and the wall who is the biggest loser of them all??
Butdoit has been in this thing 2000 in the fall!!
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