Author Archives: Michael Murphy

Dear New World Investor: It’s wild how quickly people forget Trump’s negotiation tactics. Step 1: Say something completely ridiculous that overshoots his desired outcome. Step 2: Retreat from that stance to something more “reasonable” that was the intended goal all along. Step 3: Get what you really wanted. Step...

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Dear New World Investor: As I expected, the Fed voted unanimously to hold interest rates steady yesterday, its first pause following three consecutive cuts at the end of 2024. They removed language noting that inflation had made progress toward their 2% goal, retaining only that “inflation remains somewhat elevated.”...

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Dear New World Investor: Earnings season is upon us. The market is transitioning from rising earnings with easier financial conditions to rising earnings with tighter financial conditions. That’s not bad per sé, but it’s not as good as what we had in 2024 when two-thirds of the gains came...

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Dear New World Investor: It’s Time To Invest In Human-Like Robots Artificial Intelligence will have many impacts on our economy and society. Large Language Models already are answering customer questions, helping coders debug programs, and designing biotech drugs. AI also will affect the physical world, from full self-driving cars...

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Dear New World Investor: Buy The Next Big AI Stock My position on Artificial Intelligence (AI) is that what we have and are likely to have for the foreseeable future actually is Imitative Intelligence, if only because no one understands how human intelligence really works. Using lots of very...

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Dear New World Investor: The average New World Investor recommendation finished 2024 up 20.2%, or 16.7% including the two S&P put recommendations that expired worthless. The biotech and small cap stocks made it underperform the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. Click for larger graphic Business Insider, 12/28/23: “Legendary...

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Dear New World Investor: NOTICE: No newsletter next week and I’m sure you can guess why. The Santa Claus rally should start shortly and I’ll be back on January 2 with the 2024 performance results and some early thoughts on 2025. The Fed cut the Fed funds rate a...

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Dear New World Investor: The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November increased 2.7% year-over-year (YoY), the second consecutive increase in annual inflation – a trend not seen since April, and 0.3% month-over-month (MoM). Both were a slight uptick from October’s 2.6% YoY and 0.2% MoM. It was the...

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Dear New World Investor: The venerable Dow Jones Industrial Average went over 45,000, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hit new record highs, and bitcoin cleared $100,000 – so all is right with the world? Well, not quite. Inflation is enough above the Fed’s target and the labor data...

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